Official crypto poses a threat to banks: Moody's
According to the rating agency, the introduction of an official digital currency could have a number of positive effects on consumers and the financial system.
Depending on its design, an official digital currency could enhance the Bank of England's "current tools for implementing monetary policy and ensuring financial, monetary and macroeconomic stability," Moody's said.
It has also been suggested that developments in the UK, where payments are increasingly digital, "would make payment landscapes more resilient".
It is predicted that only 9% of payments will be in cash by 2028, the report said.
For consumers, a currency issued by the central bank would "also provide safer and more trustworthy payment services" compared to other forms of crypto like Bitcoin.
At the same time, the introduction of an official digital currency would likely have a number of negative effects on traditional banks.
This would increase the risk of disintermediation, likely increase funding costs, decrease fee income, net interest margins and profitability, Moody's said.
"Customers would probably prefer the security of the risk-free CBDC and prefer them to cash in the checking accounts of the commercial banks," it said. "Replacing bank deposits for a CBDC carries the risk of tightening bank funding and then increasing borrowing costs and the risk of disintermediation for banks."
One of the central bank's challenges in adopting a digital currency would be "to ensure that funding of the economy remains in place, as banks play an important role in using their deposit base".
Regardless of the likely negative impact on traditional banks, the introduction of a digital currency "would also support the status of the UK financial sector as a global, innovative and competitive financial center," the report said.
"The UK was an early adopter of open banking and fintechs have a strong presence there," it said. "As a result, a CBDC could provide additional insights into customer behavior and enable banks, other financial intermediaries and fintechs to develop new products that expand customer choice and reduce transaction costs."
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